Quota Vera

🏴 Inghilterra

League Two

1805 partite di storico, 15 in programma.

Fattore campo
1,22×
reti attese in più giocando in casa
Conversione
32,0%
gol per tiro in porta, media del campionato
Stagione 2026/27
13
giornate giocate
In programma
15
nei prossimi giorni

Calendario

La barra è la probabilità del modello. Dove c'è un • accanto al margine, il prezzo viene da un solo operatore e non dal confronto fra otto: succede quando football-data è indietro col calendario, cioè spesso. Un margine dell'8% di un banco al dettaglio e uno del 3% di un exchange non sono lo stesso numero.

lunedì 26 ottobre
21:00
Walsall — Salford
1 42X 272 31
13,40X3,7022,10
margine6,1%
martedì 27 ottobre
20:45
Barnet — York
1 42X 232 34
—
margine7,7%•
venerdì 30 ottobre
20:45
Newport County — Chesterfield
1 26X 242 50
—
margine8,4%•
sabato 31 ottobre
13:30
Grimsby — York
1 36X 242 40
—
margine—
13:30
Port Vale — Rochdale
1 59X 242 17
—
margine8,3%•
16:00
Accrington — Northampton
1 35X 392 26
—
margine8,1%•
16:00
Colchester — Walsall
1 38X 292 34
—
margine—
16:00
Crewe — Barnet
1 35X 252 40
—
margine—
16:00
Fleetwood Town — Bristol Rvs
1 45X 272 29
—
margine8,0%•
16:00
Oldham — Crawley Town
1 57X 242 18
—
margine8,2%•
16:00
Salford — Exeter
1 30X 422 28
—
margine—
16:00
Shrewsbury — Gillingham
1 37X 282 34
—
margine8,2%•
16:00
Swindon — Rotherham
1 63X 192 18
—
margine8,0%•
16:00
Tranmere — Cheltenham
1 42X 242 34
—
margine8,3%•
martedì 3 novembre
20:45
Northampton — Oldham
1 29X 412 31
—
margine7,8%•

Classifica 2026/27

Dopo 13 giornate. Accanto ai punti veri, quelli che il gioco avrebbe prodotto.

Cheltenham ha raccolto 6,6 punti più di quanti ne dicano i tiri, Crawley Town 8,0 in meno. Sulla distanza questi scarti tendono a chiudersi.

#SquadraGVNPGFGSDRPuntiAttesiScarto
1▼7Salford128131912+72518,6+6,4
2▼13Barnet116412416+82216,5+5,5
3▼18Cheltenham13634222202114,4+6,6
4▼15Crewe13562161602115,2+5,8
5▼2York125522113+82018,9+1,1
6▼14Walsall11470167+91914,9+4,1
7▲6Chesterfield135442317+61923,3-4,3
8▼3Exeter13544107+31917,5+1,5
9▲6Accrington134632216+61820,5-2,5
10▲5Shrewsbury135351620-41819,5-1,5
11▲7Grimsby134541916+31720,4-3,4
12▼5Gillingham13454181801715,4+1,6
13▼1Tranmere13373161601616,7-0,7
14▼10Swindon134451316-31610,7+5,3
15▲13Bristol Rvs135171620-41620,7-4,7
16▲7Newport County13364161601518,1-3,1
17▼6Rochdale134361522-71513,4+1,6
18▲12Fleetwood Town133551517-21419,0-5,0
19▲9Northampton113448801317,6-4,6
20▲8Oldham123361418-41217,0-5,0
21▲3Colchester122641116-51215,2-3,2
22▲9Rotherham132651723-61216,8-4,8
23▲7Port Vale11335612-61215,4-3,4
24▲2Crawley Town111371221-9614,0-8,0

Attesi sono i punti che ogni squadra avrebbe raccolto se i gol fossero caduti secondo i tiri in porta prodotti: per ogni partita si pesa ogni esito per la sua probabilità, invece di assegnare la vittoria a chi ha creato di più. La freccia accanto alla posizione dice dove starebbe la squadra in quella classifica.

Risultati

Per giornata, dalla più recente. Con i tiri in porta accanto al punteggio: spesso raccontano un'altra partita.

13ª giornata
24/10Rotherham3–3Shrewsbury5–7
24/10Rochdale0–5Accrington1–10
24/10Gillingham1–4Grimsby2–9
24/10Exeter2–1Fleetwood Town4–4
24/10Crawley Town1–1Tranmere8–4
24/10Chesterfield5–1Crewe5–2
24/10Cheltenham1–0Newport County1–2
24/10Bristol Rvs0–0Swindon8–3
12ª giornata
20/10Barnet1–3Swindon11–5
20/10Bristol Rvs1–2Salford6–5
20/10Cheltenham4–2Fleetwood Town5–4
20/10Chesterfield1–1Colchester3–1
20/10Crawley Town2–3Shrewsbury6–7
20/10Exeter2–0Crewe5–4
20/10Northampton0–1Tranmere4–1
20/10Rochdale2–2Grimsby6–7
20/10Rotherham2–2Newport County5–4
20/10York1–1Accrington6–4
20/10Gillingham1–1Port Vale3–3
24/10York2–0Port Vale4–5
24/10Northampton2–0Colchester4–3
24/10Barnet1–1Oldham2–4
11ª giornata
17/10Fleetwood Town2–0Rotherham5–0
17/10Shrewsbury1–0Bristol Rvs3–1
17/10Accrington3–1Gillingham7–0
17/10Colchester0–0Exeter2–1
17/10Crewe3–2Rochdale4–3
17/10Grimsby0–2Northampton3–6
17/10Newport County1–1York3–1
17/10Oldham4–1Cheltenham5–4
17/10Port Vale1–0Chesterfield3–4
17/10Salford2–1Crawley Town5–4
17/10Swindon1–1Walsall5–8
17/10Tranmere1–2Barnet5–3
20/10Walsall3–0Oldham5–5
10ª giornata
10/10Oldham0–0Accrington0–1
10/10Swindon0–1Crewe1–4
10/10Bristol Rvs1–3Barnet4–3
10/10Cheltenham0–2Salford0–3
10/10Crawley Town2–2Chesterfield5–5
10/10Fleetwood Town1–1Walsall7–2
10/10Newport County1–0Colchester4–4
10/10Port Vale1–0Grimsby7–2
10/10Rotherham1–4Gillingham5–4
10/10Shrewsbury0–1Exeter3–1
10/10Tranmere1–1Rochdale4–1
9ª giornata
03/10Chesterfield4–2Tranmere10–3
03/10Accrington2–0Cheltenham6–1
03/10Crewe3–1Bristol Rvs4–4
03/10Exeter1–0Rotherham7–0
03/10Gillingham0–0Newport County1–5
03/10Grimsby1–2Shrewsbury5–4
03/10Rochdale1–0Swindon5–2
03/10Salford1–0Fleetwood Town3–1
10/10York1–1Northampton2–3
8ª giornata
26/09Bristol Rvs1–0Exeter5–5
26/09Cheltenham2–1Chesterfield3–11
26/09Fleetwood Town1–2Rochdale5–6
26/09Newport County2–1Grimsby5–3
26/09Rotherham1–1Crewe4–0
26/09Shrewsbury2–2Colchester6–4
26/09Swindon1–1Accrington5–4
26/09Tranmere1–1Walsall11–2
26/09York3–0Gillingham6–0
26/09Oldham1–4Salford3–7
7ª giornata
19/09Rochdale2–0Oldham2–1
19/09Walsall2–0Port Vale5–1
19/09Accrington0–0Newport County4–4
19/09Barnet3–1Fleetwood Town6–4
19/09Chesterfield2–0York8–0
19/09Colchester1–1Cheltenham2–2
19/09Crewe1–1Shrewsbury4–6
19/09Exeter0–0Tranmere3–1
19/09Gillingham3–0Bristol Rvs6–2
19/09Grimsby2–0Crawley Town11–1
19/09Northampton0–1Rotherham3–5
19/09Salford1–0Swindon6–1
6ª giornata
12/09Crawley Town1–3Cheltenham6–3
12/09Grimsby2–0Bristol Rvs3–1
12/09Barnet2–1Accrington5–2
12/09Colchester1–1Crewe5–1
12/09Gillingham2–0Tranmere5–3
12/09Newport County1–1Fleetwood Town2–3
12/09Oldham1–2Chesterfield6–5
12/09Port Vale1–0Exeter4–0
12/09Rotherham3–3Salford9–5
12/09Shrewsbury2–0Northampton4–5
12/09Walsall0–0Rochdale7–1
12/09York4–0Swindon9–4

L'ultima colonna sono i tiri in porta. Le righe evidenziate sono quelle in cui ha vinto chi ne ha fatti almeno tre in meno. La giornata non è pubblicata dalla fonte: si deduce contando le partite già giocate da ogni squadra, così i recuperi restano al turno a cui appartengono.

Marcatori

Gol e assist di questa stagione, contati partita per partita dai tabellini. Fra parentesi i rigori, che valgono quanto gli altri in classifica ma raccontano una cosa diversa su chi li segna.

#GiocatoreSquadraGolAssist
1Kabongo TshimangaBarnet9 (3)—
2Aaron DrinanSwindon Town8—
3Charlie MccannCheltenham Town8—
4Paul MullinRotherham United8 (3)—
5Aaron PressleyWalsall7 (2)—
6Josh WoodsAccrington Stanley7 (1)—
7Alex NewbyYork City6—
8Charlie LakinBarnet6—
9Ollie PearceYork City6—
10Ronan HaleGillingham6 (2)—
11Calum KavanaghOldham Athletic5 (1)—
12Charlie CatonAccrington Stanley5—
13Jordan GibsonCrewe Alexandra5—
14Louie MarshChesterfield5—
15Ronan CoughlanFleetwood Town5—
16Shaquille GwengweNewport County5—
17Andreas WeimannCheltenham Town4 (2)—
18Dajaune BrownRochdale4—
19Dilan Kumar MarkandayChesterfield4—
20Dylan MorganCrawley Town4—

Le squadre

Non la sola stagione in corso — ad agosto sarebbe un campione troppo piccolo. Una finestra mobile che scavalca la sosta: una squadra non cambia da maggio a settembre quanto la classifica lascerebbe credere.Scegli tu quanto guardare indietro: cinque partite dicono il momento, quaranta dicono il valore.

Ultimepartite di ogni squadra
AttaccoDifesaDisciplinaGioco
SquadraPart.GolTiriIn portaPrecis.AngoliGol sub.Tiri conc.Angoli conc.ParateFalliCartellinisuPossessoPassaggi okContrastiIntercettiSegna vs crea
Chesterfield52,4017,65,431%7,61,406,21,61,49,22,4563,6%82%15,60,0+3,4
Salford52,2013,84,633%5,60,6011,25,82,29,82,0553,1%73%15,60,0+3,6
Accrington52,2018,45,630%7,40,407,43,01,412,42,8546,1%70%12,60,0+2,0
Barnet52,0015,65,032%7,61,4014,84,43,011,01,6555,6%69%13,60,0+2,0
Shrewsbury51,8013,44,836%5,81,4011,24,42,015,63,6546,8%65%11,20,0+1,3
Crewe51,609,83,637%3,22,0014,24,62,010,21,4544,0%71%17,40,0+2,2
York51,6014,03,827%4,20,6012,85,22,49,81,6559,7%83%15,60,0+1,9
Walsall51,6014,04,431%6,20,6015,84,05,211,82,6558,0%77%15,40,0+1,0
Gillingham51,407,62,026%3,81,8016,05,03,814,62,8549,5%68%10,20,0+3,8
Grimsby51,4018,05,229%6,21,6011,86,43,010,62,6551,7%66%15,60,0-1,3
Cheltenham51,207,02,231%3,62,0016,05,21,813,22,8550,3%72%13,60,0+2,5
Rotherham51,209,83,031%3,02,4014,05,82,814,82,6551,2%69%12,20,0+1,2
Rochdale51,2011,63,228%6,22,2017,44,83,09,21,0558,2%78%11,80,0+0,9
Tranmere51,2010,43,433%5,61,6017,07,03,410,62,2543,6%71%15,60,0+0,6
Oldham51,2014,43,424%5,01,8013,67,62,012,81,4548,3%69%16,60,0+0,6
Exeter51,2011,23,632%4,20,2013,65,02,49,61,8549,1%72%13,80,0+0,2
Fleetwood Town51,2014,24,230%5,81,6010,45,61,69,82,4551,2%68%14,20,0-0,7
Crawley Town51,2011,84,840%4,02,0016,87,64,211,62,0547,0%72%14,00,0-1,7
Northampton51,0015,04,027%6,40,609,85,22,213,01,4542,4%69%14,00,0-1,4
Swindon50,8012,23,226%3,80,8017,67,86,69,61,4541,0%65%19,40,0-1,1
Newport County50,8014,03,626%4,00,809,62,01,614,41,8541,7%64%16,20,0-1,8
Colchester50,6010,22,828%3,41,2013,85,82,015,61,6555,9%77%13,20,0-1,5
Port Vale50,6011,23,834%4,81,0011,26,42,611,41,8546,3%72%14,40,0-3,1
Bristol Rvs50,6015,44,630%5,01,8011,44,01,815,63,0550,4%64%13,00,0-4,4

Su 120 partite considerate, 120 sono di 2026/27 e 0 di prima.

AttaccoDifesaDisciplinaGioco
SquadraPart.GolTiriIn portaPrecis.AngoliGol sub.Tiri conc.Angoli conc.ParateFalliCartellinisuPossessoPassaggi okContrastiIntercettiSegna vs crea
Barnet102,1015,54,630%7,41,5012,54,22,711,61,61054,6%66%13,80,0+6,3
Chesterfield102,1019,36,835%7,21,408,32,51,69,12,01060,5%80%15,40,0-0,7
Salford101,8015,34,429%6,20,8011,44,92,59,91,61056,9%75%13,60,0+3,9
Accrington101,8014,44,733%5,50,9011,14,42,613,83,21045,1%66%15,50,0+3,0
Gillingham101,708,72,832%3,61,4015,14,93,813,02,51046,7%69%13,00,0+8,0
Cheltenham101,708,42,833%3,91,7016,55,92,911,82,61045,8%72%14,70,0+8,0
York101,7015,54,730%5,11,0013,54,82,99,41,51060,7%82%14,10,0+2,0
Grimsby101,6016,15,534%6,61,4010,55,82,510,82,11053,5%69%14,60,0-1,6
Rochdale101,4010,03,232%4,71,6018,15,13,210,31,31053,5%78%11,50,0+3,8
Crewe101,4011,03,431%4,11,6016,04,93,011,01,31047,3%73%15,00,0+3,1
Shrewsbury101,4014,34,632%5,41,5010,14,12,115,03,51043,8%66%13,20,0-0,7
Rotherham101,3011,23,834%3,71,9012,65,12,613,82,41053,3%70%12,80,0+0,8
Walsall101,3014,84,228%6,20,7015,64,83,712,22,21057,5%78%13,90,0-0,4
Fleetwood Town101,2014,73,927%5,31,5011,55,51,812,12,41052,7%71%15,50,0-0,5
Crawley Town101,2013,44,332%4,12,0014,55,52,910,82,51053,7%77%13,80,0-1,7
Swindon101,1011,93,832%4,51,2016,77,45,29,81,61042,3%67%19,80,0-1,2
Tranmere101,1011,94,034%4,51,3014,76,53,010,22,31046,5%72%16,20,0-1,8
Oldham101,1015,74,227%6,01,6011,65,51,812,01,11047,9%70%15,10,0-2,4
Newport County100,8011,83,328%4,10,9012,23,22,413,71,81040,6%62%19,10,0-2,6
Northampton100,8011,83,933%5,30,8010,34,22,312,31,71044,7%72%14,90,0-4,5
Colchester100,7011,73,328%3,41,3013,95,12,413,01,41053,1%77%13,40,0-3,6
Exeter100,7010,53,433%3,90,4012,74,92,511,41,51048,3%69%15,20,0-3,9
Bristol Rvs100,7014,14,431%5,31,4010,33,92,113,72,61048,3%63%14,90,0-7,1
Port Vale100,6011,13,632%4,71,0010,85,62,213,01,71049,2%71%14,10,0-5,5

Su 240 partite considerate, 240 sono di 2026/27 e 0 di prima.

AttaccoDifesaDisciplinaGioco
SquadraPart.GolTiriIn portaPrecis.AngoliGol sub.Tiri conc.Angoli conc.ParateFalliCartellinisuPossessoPassaggi okContrastiIntercettiSegna vs crea
Barnet202,4515,45,234%7,21,4011,74,02,612,01,91153,8%65%14,50,0+16,1
Grimsby201,8015,14,731%6,11,1510,75,52,411,11,71353,3%70%15,30,0+5,9
York121,7515,64,730%5,61,0813,24,92,69,01,41261,5%82%13,80,0+2,8
Chesterfield201,6515,74,931%5,91,059,83,12,09,81,91359,7%80%15,80,0+1,3
Cheltenham201,609,13,134%4,51,7514,35,02,611,21,91346,1%71%14,90,0+12,2
Bristol Rvs201,6014,34,330%4,91,2511,64,21,813,82,61347,5%64%14,50,0+4,2
Accrington201,5513,44,433%4,51,5011,55,12,713,52,61346,4%66%15,30,0+2,9
Gillingham201,359,23,134%3,81,6014,15,43,113,12,31346,3%68%14,30,0+7,2
Oldham201,3513,63,929%5,11,5512,85,22,012,71,51246,1%70%14,90,0+1,7
Rotherham131,3111,93,832%3,71,7712,05,02,413,32,31351,2%70%13,00,0+1,3
Salford201,3014,14,129%5,70,8012,24,42,610,61,71257,3%76%13,80,0+0,1
Walsall201,3014,34,330%6,21,1514,25,24,010,91,91157,4%78%14,10,0-1,2
Newport County201,2511,93,832%4,91,3012,74,42,413,12,01339,6%60%18,30,0+0,7
Fleetwood Town201,2014,04,029%5,51,4512,05,22,112,42,31351,3%70%15,40,0-1,9
Rochdale131,159,43,032%4,71,6916,65,23,011,11,81354,5%79%11,70,0+2,5
Port Vale201,1511,94,135%4,71,0510,54,92,112,31,61150,2%72%13,40,0-3,2
Colchester201,1513,24,232%4,81,2013,35,12,711,71,51253,8%77%13,20,0-3,5
Crewe201,1011,03,330%4,81,3515,24,43,211,41,51347,2%74%15,70,0+1,2
Tranmere201,1011,33,834%4,51,3013,95,62,911,22,21347,3%70%16,50,0-2,3
Shrewsbury201,0512,53,831%4,81,309,74,41,713,12,61344,3%65%13,50,0-3,3
Crawley Town201,0512,84,132%4,11,5513,06,22,910,12,11153,2%77%13,70,0-4,9
Swindon201,009,43,234%4,31,5016,48,05,19,11,71343,8%67%20,40,0-0,5
Exeter130,7710,83,331%4,30,5413,34,92,711,11,71346,1%69%15,00,0-3,7
Northampton110,7311,73,833%5,70,739,73,92,111,81,51145,3%72%14,70,0-5,4

Su 442 partite considerate, 298 sono di 2026/27 e 144 di prima.

AttaccoDifesaDisciplinaGioco
SquadraPart.GolTiriIn portaPrecis.AngoliGol sub.Tiri conc.Angoli conc.ParateFalliCartellinisuPossessoPassaggi okContrastiIntercettiSegna vs crea
Barnet401,8214,74,732%7,01,2710,73,62,611,21,51153,8%65%14,50,0+12,9
York121,7515,64,730%5,61,0813,24,92,69,01,41261,5%82%13,80,0+2,8
Chesterfield401,5214,44,632%5,81,0710,54,12,09,41,71359,7%80%15,80,0+2,8
Cheltenham401,5010,33,332%4,51,7313,85,42,610,71,81346,1%71%14,90,0+17,8
Grimsby401,5014,34,733%6,31,0010,55,12,410,71,61353,3%70%15,30,0+0,2
Oldham401,4512,84,636%4,91,2311,95,02,012,71,91246,1%70%14,90,0-0,5
Bristol Rvs401,4313,03,930%4,51,2511,44,71,813,62,51347,5%64%14,50,0+6,5
Salford401,4013,84,432%5,50,9511,44,32,611,21,91257,3%76%13,80,0+0,4
Rotherham131,3111,93,832%3,71,7712,05,02,413,32,31351,2%70%13,00,0+1,3
Swindon401,3010,64,038%5,11,2515,06,95,19,31,61343,8%67%20,40,0+0,8
Crewe401,2711,13,330%4,71,2014,94,73,211,01,71347,2%74%15,70,0+8,5
Walsall401,1812,13,831%4,91,1512,95,94,011,21,91157,4%78%14,10,0-0,6
Rochdale131,159,43,032%4,71,6916,65,23,011,11,81354,5%79%11,70,0+2,5
Port Vale401,1511,83,933%4,81,0211,15,12,111,41,61150,2%72%13,40,0-4,2
Accrington401,1512,74,334%4,51,3012,65,52,712,02,51346,4%66%15,30,0-8,0
Gillingham401,1211,73,732%4,71,7513,35,03,113,22,01346,3%68%14,30,0-2,3
Colchester401,1212,63,931%4,61,1012,44,72,711,21,81253,8%77%13,20,0-5,5
Newport County401,1011,23,632%4,41,4513,65,22,411,72,01339,6%60%18,30,0-1,4
Fleetwood Town401,1013,44,030%5,21,2011,44,92,112,42,31351,3%70%15,40,0-7,8
Shrewsbury400,9711,93,630%4,41,4311,04,11,712,12,21344,3%65%13,50,0-6,4
Tranmere400,9312,03,933%4,51,7014,26,12,911,82,21347,3%70%16,50,0-12,6
Crawley Town400,9312,84,132%4,71,5713,16,62,911,02,21153,2%77%13,70,0-14,5
Exeter130,7710,83,331%4,30,5413,34,92,711,11,71346,1%69%15,00,0-3,7
Northampton110,7311,73,833%5,70,739,73,92,111,81,51145,3%72%14,70,0-5,4

Su 822 partite considerate, 298 sono di 2026/27 e 524 di prima.

«Segna vs crea» è la differenza fra i gol segnati e quelli che i tiri in porta avrebbero fatto prevedere, alla conversione media del campionato (32,0%). Positivo vuol dire che sta segnando più di quanto crea: può essere un attaccante in stato di grazia quanto fortuna, e le due si distinguono solo col tempo — ma sulla stagione la fortuna rientra e la bravura no.

Le colonne sotto Gioco — possesso, passaggi, contrasti, intercetti — arrivano dai tabellini di ESPN e quindi esistono solo per le partite di questa stagione, non per tutta la finestra scelta. La colonna su dice su quante partite sono calcolate: a inizio stagione sono due o tre, e vanno lette per quello che sono. Dove manca il dato c'è un trattino, non uno zero — uno zero sarebbe una misura, e qui non abbiamo misurato niente.